8 Profitable Strategies for Football Betting + Bonus Tip

Fans of sports in Ghana are winning big money by betting on football with Parimatch. The trick? They use smart betting strategies.

To improve your chances of winning, you need to learn some easy tricks that many bettors in Africa use. This includes understanding different betting methods, trying accumulator bets, knowing about value betting, and more.

Feeling confused? Don’t worry! We’re here to help. Whether you’re new to sports betting or you’ve done it before, this article will teach you simple football betting strategies that work with any system.

Best Football Betting Strategies for Winning Big 

There are many different betting strategies out there, each with its own approach. The key is to find a strategy that fits your needs and preferences. Some strategies aim for the highest returns, while others focus on minimizing risk. It’s important to identify your goals and choose a strategy that matches them.

Explore the proven football betting systems designed to work efficiently. Review each one and find a method that helps you make the best football bets for your situation. 

1. Value Betting

First up is value betting. This approach focuses on finding bets where the chances of winning are higher than the odds suggest. Your goal is to place bets where the probability of winning is greater than what the sportsbook’s odds imply.

Remember, soccer odds show the relationship between risk and reward. The ideal value bet has low risk but the potential for a high payout.

It’s impossible to calculate exact true odds since you can’t repeat the same game thousands of times for perfect accuracy. However, sportsbooks provide odds that are close, but not exact, to true odds. This gap creates opportunities for value bets.

To find value bets, compare the implied probability of the sportsbook’s odds with your own predicted probability. The bigger the difference, the better the value.

Suppose in a football match between Team A and Team B, the bookmaker offers odds of 2.00 for Team A to win. However, based on your analysis, you believe that Team A has a 60% chance of winning, which equates to fair odds of 1.67 (1/0.60). Therefore, according to value betting, the odds offered by the bookmaker are higher than the fair odds. If you bet $100 on Team A and they win, you would make a profit of $100 (2.00 – 1.00) * $100 = $100.

If you need help understanding implied probability, check out Parimatch’s guide on reading soccer odds to enhance your betting.

2. Value-Based Sports Betting 

While value betting focuses on which odds to bet on, value-based staking focuses on how much to bet. This strategy involves adjusting your bet size based on the value of the odds.

If you see odds that are much better than your prediction, you will place a larger bet because it’s a high-value opportunity. Conversely, if the odds closely match your prediction, you would place a smaller bet to reduce risk.

In simple terms, with a value-based strategy, you bet more when the odds have a higher value and less when the odds have a lower value. This approach aims to maximize profits by staking more on high-value bets and less on low-value ones.

With this strategy, let’s say you find a bet where the bookmaker offers odds of 3.00 for Team A to win, but you believe their true odds are 2.50. You decide to place a bet of $50 on Team A. If Team A wins, you would make a profit of ($50 * 3.00) – $50 = $100.

3. Situational Football Betting Strategy

Situational betting focuses on specific conditions surrounding a football match. You look for bets that are highly favorable due to particular circumstances.

For instance, if the weather forecast predicts strong winds on Premier League match day, consider how this might affect the game. High winds often lead to lower-scoring matches. You can use this information to your advantage by betting on fewer total goals scored.

In this scenario, you might place an “under” bet on the total goals, taking the challenging weather into account.

Other factors to consider include player injuries, the importance of the match, recent performance, etc. By focusing on the context of the match, you can choose the betting system that gives you the best chance to win.

In this approach, let’s consider a scenario where Team A is playing in windy conditions, and historically, windy conditions have led to fewer goals in matches. The bookmaker offers odds of 2.00 for under 2.5 goals in the match. You decide to bet $50 on under 2.5 goals. If the match ends with fewer than 2.5 goals, you would make a profit based on the odds offered by the bookmaker.

4. Betting on the Home Underdog in Soccer 

Betting on the underdog can lead to higher payouts because they are less likely to win, resulting in higher odds. Higher odds mean higher risk, but this risk can be reduced if the underdog is playing at home.

Home team fans provide strong support, which can positively influence the team’s performance. This strategy relies on the home crowd boosting the underdog’s chances of winning.

When the odds are close, betting on the home underdog can be effective because the fans’ support might be enough to tip the scales. However, it’s not a good idea to bet on the home underdog when the odds are significantly against them. 

Suppose Team A is the underdog playing at home against Team B. The bookmaker offers odds of 3.00 for Team A to win. You believe there’s a good chance Team A will perform well at home, so you decide to bet $50 on Team A. If Team A wins, you would make a profit based on the odds offered. 

5. Bounce Back Strategy in Football

This easy strategy relies on teams wanting to make a comeback after a loss. When a team has been losing, they often try extra hard to win their next game.

For example, imagine a strong team like Spain loses a game unexpectedly. In their next match, they’ll likely be super motivated to make up for that loss.

This strategy is all about teams getting better after they’ve had a tough time. They analyze what went wrong and try harder in the next game to get a win.

But not every team bounces back after a bad game, so it’s important to know which ones do. This helps you bet on the teams more likely to do well after a loss.

Let’s say Team A lost their previous match but are now playing against a weaker opponent, Team B. The bookmaker offers odds of 1.80 for Team A to win. You believe there’s a high chance Team A will bounce back and win this match, so you bet $50 on Team A. If Team A wins, you would make a profit based on the odds offered.

6. Double Chance Betting on Football

This method boosts your chances of winning by letting you bet on two of the three possible outcomes in a football game. It’s a safer way to bet if you’re not sure which team will win.

For example, in a typical game, there are 3 outcomes: the home team wins, the away team wins, or it’s a tie. With a two-way bet, you pick two of these possibilities. This lowers your risk because you’ve got more chances to win.

While this type of bet might not give you big payouts like riskier bets, it’s a safer way to play. By sticking with this method, you can make steady profits over time.

This strategy is great for beginners getting into online betting. It’s a smart way to start betting while you learn more. As you get more confident, you can try riskier bets with bigger payouts.

Two-way betting is especially handy during live games and works well with trusted bookies like Parimatch. Starting with this method helps you learn how to bet smart and gradually increase your chances of winning.

Suppose in a match between Team A and Team B, you’re unsure which team will win but you believe Team A won’t lose. The bookmaker offers odds of 1.50 for Team A or draw. You bet $50 on this outcome. If Team A wins or the match ends in a draw, you would make a profit based on the odds offered.

7. Arbitrage

Arbitrage, often called “arbing,” is a strategy familiar to many bettors, even if they’re not entirely sure what it entails. In simple terms, it’s when you can bet on an outcome at a higher price than you can lay it off at an exchange.

For instance, let’s say Parimatch offers odds of 6/4 (2.50) for Manchester United to beat Arsenal at Old Trafford. However, on the Betfair Exchange, the odds for laying Manchester United are currently 2.3, which is lower than 6/4. So, you bet on Manchester United with bet365 and lay the same bet on Betfair, ensuring a profit.

These opportunities crop up more frequently than you might imagine, especially early on in a market. But you’ve got to act fast to take advantage because many other bettors are on the lookout for the same opportunities.

Of course, bookmakers aren’t too keen on arbers because they’re essentially profiting by spotting discrepancies in prices. It’s a strategy that can lead to your accounts being restricted, but while it lasts, it can be quite profitable.

In arbitrage betting, you exploit differences in odds between different bookmakers to guarantee a profit. For example, if one bookmaker offers odds of 2.00 for Team A to win, and another bookmaker offers odds of 2.10 for Team B to win, you can bet on both outcomes and ensure a profit regardless of the result.

8. Pareto

The Pareto principle, often used in business, suggests that 80% of results come from 20% of the causes. In football, this means that 80% of trophies are likely won by just 20% of the clubs. A glance at the list of Premier League winners confirms this.

So, how does this apply to finding the best football betting strategy? It’s all about identifying your strengths. Let’s take the main football leagues in the UK – the Premier League, Championship, Leagues 1 & 2, and the National League.

According to the Pareto principle, you choose one league and focus solely on it. Also, narrow down the types of bets you make. Many bookmakers offer odds on numerous variables, so concentrate on a small percentage of what you know best.

The key is to stay disciplined. You’ll likely see bigger profits when you have a narrower focus. Initially, it might be trial and error to pick the right markets, but keep track of your bets, and you’ll soon identify the 20% of markets worth concentrating on.

🎁 Bonus Tip for Beginners: Stick to Shorter Odds

So far, we’ve covered seven successful soccer betting strategies. Here’s a beginner-friendly tip as a bonus!

If you’re just starting out, focus on shorter odds. These are more likely to happen and offer lower potential payouts. For example, betting on goals scored in the first half.

Shorter odds imply higher probability, making them a safer option with lower risk. While the potential profit may be smaller, you have a better chance of getting a return on your bet.

Key Takeaways: Best Soccer Betting Strategy

Here are the key takeaways for the best soccer betting strategy:

• Prioritize responsible bankroll management.
• Conduct thorough research before placing bets.
• Consider strategies like value betting and avoiding chasing losses.
• Focus on low-risk betting approaches for consistent profits.
• Adjust strategies as needed based on results and experience.

If you enjoy betting on football or trying out virtual soccer, Parimatch provides the most extensive selection of online betting options throughout Africa. Our mobile app is easy to use, making it simple to explore various betting systems.

Ready to try out these effective soccer betting strategies? Join one of the leading football betting platforms today!

FAQs

❓ Which betting strategy tends to yield the highest profits?

The most profitable betting strategy is one that combines responsible bankroll management with well-informed decision-making. It’s essential to balance risk and reward while focusing on consistent, safe betting approaches.

❓ What’s the secret to making money in football betting?

Focusing on low-risk strategies can increase your chances of winning. Instead of chasing big profits with high-risk bets, prioritize a consistent, safe betting approach.

❓ What’s the 2-1 betting strategy?

The 2-1 strategy is a progressive betting system where you start by betting two units. If you win, you bet one unit next time. If you win again, you return to betting two units. It’s one of the effective football betting strategies that work.

Read More:

• Free AI Football Predictions for Today: Find Out Soccer Match Results
• Sure Betting Tips: 8 Rules for Accurate Betting